Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.040909 0.047880 0.055558 0.064625 0.075021 0.086551 0.100289
2025-02-16 0.028504 0.037113 0.047521 0.060962 0.077786 0.098067 0.124278
2025-02-23 0.020583 0.029525 0.041280 0.057714 0.079915 0.108660 0.148452
2025-03-02 0.015556 0.024377 0.036886 0.055653 0.082764 0.120109 0.174940
2025-03-09 0.012577 0.021343 0.034647 0.055890 0.088424 0.135694 0.208668
2025-03-16 0.009880 0.018096 0.031394 0.053908 0.090309 0.145854 0.235608
2025-03-23 0.008672 0.016977 0.031190 0.056491 0.099324 0.167430 0.281750
2025-03-30 0.007349 0.015359 0.029826 0.056857 0.104672 0.183716 0.321227
2025-04-06 0.006051 0.013491 0.027667 0.055433 0.106678 0.194620 0.352918
2025-04-13 0.005057 0.011997 0.025908 0.054394 0.109097 0.206287 0.386822
2025-04-20 0.004636 0.011602 0.026187 0.057200 0.118783 0.231419 0.446198
2025-04-27 0.004205 0.011089 0.026127 0.059298 0.127321 0.255242 0.505323
2025-05-04 0.003469 0.009729 0.024093 0.057142 0.127460 0.263942 0.538398
2025-05-11 0.002964 0.008810 0.022863 0.056497 0.130551 0.278537 0.583928
2025-05-18 0.002476 0.007817 0.021277 0.054810 0.131229 0.288465 0.621424
2025-05-25 0.002092 0.007004 0.019967 0.053530 0.132583 0.299815 0.662691
2025-06-01 0.001857 0.006556 0.019481 0.054120 0.138127 0.320241 0.723971
2025-06-08 0.001558 0.005832 0.018138 0.052378 0.138090 0.328870 0.761653
2025-06-15 0.001465 0.005739 0.018486 0.054993 0.148619 0.361231 0.852017
2025-06-22 0.001305 0.005381 0.018023 0.055403 0.153854 0.382391 0.920065
2025-06-29 0.001113 0.004856 0.016968 0.054038 0.154512 0.393295 0.966576
2025-07-06 0.000959 0.004420 0.016095 0.053037 0.155951 0.406087 1.018317
2025-07-13 0.000914 0.004393 0.016501 0.055786 0.167501 0.443606 1.129145